Preseason Rankings
Oral Roberts
Summit League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#283
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.8#312
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#219
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#320
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.3% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 8.6% 18.0% 6.0%
.500 or above in Conference 26.7% 39.8% 23.1%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 27.0% 17.7% 29.5%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round1.3% 2.2% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.20.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.90.1 - 3.1
Quad 20.3 - 3.70.4 - 6.8
Quad 32.0 - 7.32.4 - 14.0
Quad 46.3 - 6.38.7 - 20.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 190   @ Missouri St. L 65-70 21%    
  Nov 11, 2018 28   @ TCU L 64-82 2%    
  Nov 13, 2018 288   California Baptist W 71-70 63%    
  Nov 15, 2018 63   @ BYU L 62-77 5%    
  Nov 23, 2018 186   Northern Illinois L 68-73 32%    
  Nov 24, 2018 245   @ Oakland L 71-73 34%    
  Nov 25, 2018 176   James Madison L 67-73 32%    
  Dec 02, 2018 56   @ SMU L 59-74 6%    
  Dec 05, 2018 179   Florida Gulf Coast L 71-76 41%    
  Dec 07, 2018 51   @ Missouri L 60-76 5%    
  Dec 15, 2018 130   @ Richmond L 67-76 16%    
  Dec 19, 2018 81   @ Wichita St. L 66-79 9%    
  Dec 22, 2018 98   Tulsa L 65-76 25%    
  Dec 30, 2018 253   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-75 37%    
  Jan 03, 2019 271   North Dakota L 73-74 59%    
  Jan 05, 2019 270   Western Illinois L 69-70 59%    
  Jan 10, 2019 169   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-79 22%    
  Jan 12, 2019 79   @ South Dakota St. L 69-82 9%    
  Jan 17, 2019 134   South Dakota L 67-76 31%    
  Jan 20, 2019 200   @ Denver L 67-71 27%    
  Jan 26, 2019 199   North Dakota St. L 67-71 46%    
  Jan 31, 2019 79   South Dakota St. L 69-82 22%    
  Feb 02, 2019 169   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-79 40%    
  Feb 07, 2019 200   Denver L 67-71 47%    
  Feb 10, 2019 134   @ South Dakota L 67-76 17%    
  Feb 14, 2019 199   @ North Dakota St. L 67-71 27%    
  Feb 16, 2019 271   @ North Dakota L 73-74 38%    
  Feb 23, 2019 270   @ Western Illinois L 69-70 40%    
  Feb 28, 2019 253   Nebraska Omaha L 74-75 56%    
Projected Record 8.7 - 20.3 5.8 - 10.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.9 3.5 1.1 0.1 9.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.1 3.7 0.8 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 6.1 4.5 0.9 0.1 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.4 4.7 0.8 0.0 16.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 4.6 6.7 3.9 0.6 0.0 17.3 8th
9th 1.4 3.8 5.9 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 18.5 9th
Total 1.4 4.0 7.3 10.2 12.4 12.9 13.6 11.6 9.3 7.2 4.8 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 84.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 66.9% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-4 29.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-5 13.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 43.0% 43.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.4% 12.9% 12.8% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2%
13-3 0.8% 17.4% 17.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-4 1.5% 9.9% 9.8% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4 0.0%
11-5 2.7% 7.4% 7.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
10-6 4.8% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.6
9-7 7.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.9
8-8 9.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.1
7-9 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.5
6-10 13.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-11 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.9
4-12 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
3-13 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.2
2-14 7.3% 7.3
1-15 4.0% 4.0
0-16 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%